Nokesville, VA 20181 - Home Prices, Rental Trends, Listings & Demographics | Prop:Metrics

Nokesville, VA—20181

Real Estate Data & Market Trends

Key Metrics at a Glance

Median Home Value

$779,000

3.0% YoY Growth

Household Income

$163,000

21.7% YoY Growth

Days on Market

15.0% Shorter YoY

Home Price Forecast

0.3%

Median Rent

$3,250

18.1% YoY Growth

1-Bed Rent

$1,300

N/A

2-Bed Rent

$1,600

N/A

3-Bed Rent

$3,250

N/A

Home Price Trends — Nokesville, VA

As of Dec '25, the median home price in Nokesville, VA is $779,000, with a year-over-year change of 3.0%. This indicates that home prices in Nokesville, VA are increasing. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is 0.3%, suggesting a relatively flat housing market in the next year.

Cost per Home Type

Home Type	Median Home Value	YoY % Change
All Homes	$779,000	3.0%
Single Family	$779,000	2.8%
Condos	N/A	N/A

Cost per Home Size

Home Size	Median Home Value	YoY % Change
1 Bed

Rental Trends — Nokesville, VA

As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Nokesville, VA is $3,490, with a year-over-year rent change of -18.1%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Nokesville, VA is 1-bedrooms: $1,300, 2-bedrooms: $1,850, 3-bedrooms: $3,250, 4-bedrooms: $3,800. The most common rental property sizes in Nokesville, VA are 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom, accounting for 37.8% and 28.9% of the rental stock.

Type	Median Rent	Average Rent
Average Rent	$3,250	$3,490
Studio Rent	N/A	N/A
1 Bed Rent	$1,300	$1,300
2 Bed Rent	$1,600	$1,850
3 Bed Rent	$3,250	$3,250
4 Bed Rent	$3,800	$3,800

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% of Rental Stock

1 Bedroom

21.8%

2 Bedrooms

10.2%

3 Bedrooms

37.8%

4 Bedrooms

28.9%

5+ Bedrooms

1.4%

Property Listings — Nokesville, VA

As of Dec '25, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Nokesville, VA is 78. This is a decrease of -38.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market shorter than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 8.0%, representing a small inventory and little supply pressure on home prices.

Metric	Zip Code Average	Year over Year % Change
Median Listing Price	$1,210,000	5.0%
Listing Count	44	26.0%
Listings as % of Homes	0.8%	26.0%
Days on Market	95	-15.0%

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Demographics — Nokesville, VA

As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Nokesville, VA has a population of 10,100, which has increased by 7.2% over the past 5 years. Nokesville, VA is a popular place for families, as children make up 26.6% of the population. The area has a moderately educated workforce, with 45.0% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are some residents working remotely, with 23.4% reporting working from home.

Metric	Latest Census	YoY % Change
Population	10,100	7.2%
% Under 18	26.6%	3.1%
% Seniors	13.4%	-4.3%
% WFH	23.4%	175.3%
% w/ College Degree	45.0%	14.2%

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As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Nokesville, VA is a predominantly white area, with 78.5% of the population identifying as white. The white population has shrunk by 3.2% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Nokesville, VA is hispanic, making up 10.1% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 10.5% of the population in Nokesville, VA, and this percentage has increased by 10.5% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting more immigrants are calling the area home.

Race and Ethnicity

Metric	Latest Census	5-Year % Change
% White	78.5%	-3.2%
% Black	4.1%	2.5%
% Hispanic	10.1%	3.1%
% Asian	2.9%	20.8%
% Foreign Born	10.5%	10.5%

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Mortgage and Risk — Nokesville, VA

According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 177 mortgage originations in Nokesville, VA, of which 81.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 58.0%, with 22.0% above 90% LTV (very high). This implies large mortgage risk in Nokesville, VA. Investor activity is low, as 1.0% of loans were by investors. 14.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting many homeowners are tapping equity.

Mortgages

Metric	Zip Code Average
Total Loan Originations	177
% Conventional Loans	81.0%
% Government Loans	19.0%
% Investor Loans	1.0%
% Second Loans	1.0%
% Cash Out Refinance	14.0%

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Rentals and Section 8 — Nokesville, VA

Nokesville, VA lacks sufficient Section 8 program data for analysis.

Section 8 Market Size

Total Units under HUD	N/A
Total Units Section 8	N/A
% Rentals under Section 8	N/A
% Occupied Section 8	N/A

Section 8 Opportunity

Home Size	HUD Premium	Market Rent	Max HUD Rent
1 Bedroom	$250	$1,300	$1,550
2 Bedroom	$140	$1,600	$1,740
3 Bedroom	-$1,070	$3,250	$2,180
4 Bedroom	-$1,230	$3,800	$2,570

Nokesville, VA—20181

Key Metrics at a Glance

Home Price Trends — Nokesville, VA

Cost per Home Type

Cost per Home Size

% of Housing Stock

Rental Trends — Nokesville, VA

% of Rental Stock

Property Listings — Nokesville, VA

Demographics — Nokesville, VA

Race and Ethnicity

Mortgage and Risk — Nokesville, VA

Mortgages

Rentals and Section 8 — Nokesville, VA

Section 8 Market Size

Section 8 Opportunity

Affordability — Nokesville, VA

Home Price to Income Ratio

Nokesville, VA — ZIP Code Boundary Map

Nearby ZIP Codes

Bristow, VA

Catlett, VA

Manassas, VA

Manassas, VA

Manassas, VA

Frequently Asked Questions

Metric	Zip Code Average
Home Price to Income Ratio	4.2
Median Home Price	$779,000
Median Household Income	$163,000

Nokesville, VA—20181

Key Metrics at a Glance

Home Price Trends — Nokesville, VA

Cost per Home Type

Cost per Home Size

% of Housing Stock

Rental Trends — Nokesville, VA

% of Rental Stock

Property Listings — Nokesville, VA

Demographics — Nokesville, VA

Race and Ethnicity

Mortgage and Risk — Nokesville, VA

Mortgages

Rentals and Section 8 — Nokesville, VA

Section 8 Market Size

Section 8 Opportunity

Affordability — Nokesville, VA

Home Price to Income Ratio

Nokesville, VA — ZIP Code Boundary Map

Nearby ZIP Codes

Bristow, VA

Catlett, VA

Manassas, VA

Manassas, VA

Manassas, VA

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average home price in Nokesville, VA 20181?

How have home prices in Nokesville, VA 20181 changed over the past year?

What is the home price projection for Nokesville, VA 20181?

What are the demographics of Nokesville, VA 20181?

How long does it take homes to sell in Nokesville, VA 20181?

What is the average rent price in Nokesville, VA 20181?