Nokesville, VA—20181
Real Estate Data & Market Trends
Key Metrics at a Glance
Home Price Trends — Nokesville, VA
As of Oct '25, the median home price in Nokesville, VA is $783,000, with a year-over-year change of 3.1%. This indicates that home prices in Nokesville, VA are increasing. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is -0.1%, suggesting a relatively flat housing market in the next year.
Cost per Home Type
| Home Type | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
All Homes | $783,000 | 3.2% |
| Single Family | $783,000 | 2.9% |
| Condos | N/A | N/A |
Cost per Home Size
| Home Size | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
1 Bed | N/A | N/A |
2 Bed | $541,000 | 4.0% |
3 Bed | $625,000 | 2.6% |
4 Bed | $837,000 | 3.1% |
| 5 Bed | $1,085,000 | 3.5% |
% of Housing Stock
Rental Trends — Nokesville, VA
As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Nokesville, VA is $3,490, with a year-over-year rent change of -18.1%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Nokesville, VA is 1-bedrooms: $1,300, 2-bedrooms: $1,850, 3-bedrooms: $3,250, 4-bedrooms: $3,800. The most common rental property sizes in Nokesville, VA are 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom, accounting for 37.8% and 28.9% of the rental stock.
| Type | Median Rent | Average Rent |
|---|---|---|
| Average Rent | $3,250 | $3,490 |
| Studio Rent | N/A | N/A |
| 1 Bed Rent | $1,300 | $1,300 |
| 2 Bed Rent | $1,600 | $1,850 |
| 3 Bed Rent | $3,250 | $3,250 |
| 4 Bed Rent | $3,800 | $3,800 |
% of Rental Stock
Property Listings — Nokesville, VA
As of Oct '25, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Nokesville, VA is 46. This is a decrease of -52.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market shorter than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 14.0%, representing a small inventory and little supply pressure on home prices.
| Metric | Zip Code Average | Year over Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
Median Listing Price | $1,200,000 | 8.0% |
Listing Count | 57 | 32.0% |
| Listings as % of Homes | 0.8% | 32.0% |
Days on Market | 46 | -52.0% |
Demographics — Nokesville, VA
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Nokesville, VA has a population of 10,100, which has increased by 7.2% over the past 5 years. Nokesville, VA is a popular place for families, as children make up 26.6% of the population. The area has a moderately educated workforce, with 45.0% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are some residents working remotely, with 23.4% reporting working from home.
| Metric | Latest Census | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
Population | 10,100 | 7.2% |
% Under 18 | 26.6% | 3.1% |
% Seniors | 13.4% | -4.3% |
% WFH | 23.4% | 175.3% |
% w/ College Degree | 45.0% | 14.2% |
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Nokesville, VA is a predominantly white area, with 78.5% of the population identifying as white. The white population has shrunk by 3.2% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Nokesville, VA is hispanic, making up 10.1% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 10.5% of the population in Nokesville, VA, and this percentage has increased by 10.5% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting more immigrants are calling the area home.
Race and Ethnicity
| Metric | Latest Census | 5-Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
% White | 78.5% | -3.2% |
% Black | 4.1% | 2.5% |
% Hispanic | 10.1% | 3.1% |
% Asian | 2.9% | 20.8% |
% Foreign Born | 10.5% | 10.5% |
Mortgage and Risk — Nokesville, VA
According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 177 mortgage originations in Nokesville, VA, of which 81.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 58.0%, with 22.0% above 90% LTV (very high). This implies large mortgage risk in Nokesville, VA. Investor activity is low, as 1.0% of loans were by investors. 14.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting many homeowners are tapping equity.
Mortgages
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
Total Loan Originations | 177 |
% Conventional Loans | 81.0% |
% Government Loans | 19.0% |
% Investor Loans | 1.0% |
% Second Loans | 1.0% |
% Cash Out Refinance | 14.0% |
Loan Activity
Rentals and Section 8 — Nokesville, VA
Nokesville, VA lacks sufficient Section 8 program data for analysis.
Section 8 Market Size
Total Units under HUD | N/A |
Total Units Section 8 | N/A |
% Rentals under Section 8 | N/A |
% Occupied Section 8 | N/A |
Section 8 Opportunity
| Home Size | HUD Premium | Market Rent | Max HUD Rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bedroom | $250 | $1,300 | $1,550 |
| 2 Bedroom | $140 | $1,600 | $1,740 |
| 3 Bedroom | -$1,070 | $3,250 | $2,180 |
| 4 Bedroom | -$1,230 | $3,800 | $2,570 |
Affordability — Nokesville, VA
Home Price to Income Ratio
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
| Home Price to Income Ratio | 4.3 |
| Median Home Price | $783,000 |
| Median Household Income | $163,000 |