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Nogales, AZ—85621

Real Estate Data & Market Trends

Key Metrics at a Glance

Median Home Value
$213,000
0.5% YoY Growth
Household Income
$41,300
40.8% YoY Growth
Days on Market
72
18.0% Shorter YoY
Home Price Forecast
0.9%
Median Rent
$1,350
15.1% YoY Growth
1-Bed Rent
N/A
N/A
2-Bed Rent
$950
14.2% YoY Growth
3-Bed Rent
$1,350
78.4% YoY Growth
  • Home Price Trends
  • Rental Trends
  • Property Listings
  • Demographics
  • Mortgage and Risk

Home Price Trends — Nogales, AZ

As of Dec '25, the median home price in Nogales, AZ is $213,000, with a year-over-year change of -0.5%. This indicates that home prices in Nogales, AZ are flat. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is 0.9%, suggesting a relatively flat housing market in the next year.

Cost per Home Type

Home TypeMedian Home ValueYoY % Change
All Homes
$213,000-0.5%
Single Family $213,000-0.9%
Condos N/AN/A

Cost per Home Size

Home SizeMedian Home ValueYoY % Change
1 Bed
  • Affordability
  • Rentals and Section 8
    • N/A
    N/A
    2 Bed
    		$154,000-1.3%
    3 Bed
    		$204,000-0.5%
    4 Bed
    		$294,0001.0%
    5 Bed $381,4732.5%
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    % of Housing Stock

    Studio
    5.4%
    1 Bedroom
    10.5%
    2 Bedrooms
    29.8%
    3 Bedrooms
    39.8%
    4 Bedrooms
    13.0%
    5+ Bedrooms
    1.6%

    Rental Trends — Nogales, AZ

    As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Nogales, AZ is $1,750, with a year-over-year rent change of 15.1%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Nogales, AZ is 2-bedrooms: $970, 3-bedrooms: $1,820, 4-bedrooms: $2,900. The most common rental property sizes in Nogales, AZ are 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom, accounting for 44.0% and 29.0% of the rental stock.

    TypeMedian RentAverage Rent
    Average Rent$1,350$1,750
    Studio Rent N/AN/A
    1 Bed Rent N/AN/A
    2 Bed Rent $950$970
    3 Bed Rent $1,350$1,820
    4 Bed Rent $2,900$2,900
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    % of Rental Stock

    Studio
    8.7%
    1 Bedroom
    16.6%
    2 Bedrooms
    44.0%
    3 Bedrooms
    29.0%
    4 Bedrooms
    1.4%
    5+ Bedrooms
    0.3%

    Property Listings — Nogales, AZ

    As of Dec '25, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Nogales, AZ is 47. This is a increase of 16.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market longer than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 10.0%, representing a small inventory and little supply pressure on home prices.

    MetricZip Code AverageYear over Year % Change
    Median Listing Price
    		$286,000-6.0%
    Listing Count
    		456.0%
    Listings as % of Homes0.5%6.0%
    Days on Market
    		72-18.0%
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    Demographics — Nogales, AZ

    As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Nogales, AZ has a population of 21,500, which has decreased by -3.4% over the past 5 years. Nogales, AZ is a popular place for families, as children make up 25.1% of the population. The area has a poorly educated workforce, with 18.5% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are few residents working remotely, with 4.9% reporting working from home.

    MetricLatest CensusYoY % Change
    Population
    		21,500-3.4%
    % Under 18
    		25.1%-16.1%
    % Seniors
    		19.1%17.2%
    % WFH
    		4.9%145.0%
    % w/ College Degree
    		18.5%39.1%
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    As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Nogales, AZ is a predominantly hispanic area, with 93.2% of the population identifying as hispanic. The hispanic population has shrunk by 0.2% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Nogales, AZ is white, making up 4.5% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 44.3% of the population in Nogales, AZ, and this percentage has increased by 16.3% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting more immigrants are calling the area home.

    Race and Ethnicity

    MetricLatest Census5-Year % Change
    % White
    		4.5%-2.2%
    % Black
    		0.3%-72.7%
    % Hispanic
    		93.2%-0.2%
    % Asian
    		0.2%-86.7%
    % Foreign Born
    		44.3%16.3%
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    Mortgage and Risk — Nogales, AZ

    According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 101 mortgage originations in Nogales, AZ, of which 63.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 67.0%, with 28.0% above 90% LTV (very high). This implies large mortgage risk in Nogales, AZ. Investor activity is low, as 6.0% of loans were by investors. 25.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting many homeowners are tapping equity.

    Mortgages

    MetricZip Code Average
    Total Loan Originations
    		101
    % Conventional Loans
    		63.0%
    % Government Loans
    		37.0%
    % Investor Loans
    		6.0%
    % Second Loans
    		3.0%
    % Cash Out Refinance
    		25.0%
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    Rentals and Section 8 — Nogales, AZ

    Nogales, AZ lacks sufficient Section 8 program data for analysis.

    Section 8 Market Size

    Total Units under HUD
    		446
    Total Units Section 8
    		182
    % Rentals under Section 8
    		N/A
    % Occupied Section 8
    		87.0%

    Section 8 Opportunity

    Home SizeHUD PremiumMarket RentMax HUD Rent
    1 BedroomN/AN/A$790
    2 Bedroom$80$950$1,030
    3 Bedroom$90$1,350$1,440
    4 Bedroom-$1,450$2,900$1,450

    Affordability — Nogales, AZ

    Home Price to Income Ratio

    MetricZip Code Average
    Home Price to Income Ratio4.9
    Median Home Price$213,000
    Median Household Income$41,300

    Nogales, AZ — ZIP Code Boundary Map

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    Frequently Asked Questions