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Tubac—85646

Real Estate Data & Market Trends

Key Metrics at a Glance

Median Home Value
$502,000
2.9% YoY Growth
Household Income
$85,300
48.8% YoY Growth
Days on Market
99
86.0% Longer YoY
Home Price Forecast
1.4%
Median Rent
$4,000
37.0% YoY Growth
1-Bed Rent
N/A
N/A
2-Bed Rent
$4,000
46.5% YoY Growth
3-Bed Rent
N/A
N/A
  • Home Price Trends
  • Rental Trends
  • Property Listings
  • Demographics
  • Mortgage and Risk

Home Price Trends — Tubac

As of Dec '25, the median home price in Tubac is $502,000, with a year-over-year change of -2.9%. This indicates that home prices in Tubac are decreasing. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is 1.4%, suggesting an increase housing market in the next year.

Cost per Home Type

Home TypeMedian Home ValueYoY % Change
All Homes
$502,000-2.9%
Single Family $506,000-2.9%
Condos N/AN/A

Cost per Home Size

Home SizeMedian Home ValueYoY % Change
1 Bed
  • Affordability
  • Rentals and Section 8
    • N/A
    N/A
    2 Bed
    		$444,000-3.1%
    3 Bed
    		$588,000-2.3%
    4 Bed
    		N/AN/A
    5 Bed N/AN/A
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    % of Housing Stock

    1 Bedroom
    9.8%
    2 Bedrooms
    34.2%
    3 Bedrooms
    51.6%
    4 Bedrooms
    3.1%
    5+ Bedrooms
    1.3%

    Rental Trends — Tubac

    As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Tubac is $4,000, with a year-over-year rent change of 37.0%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Tubac is 2-bedrooms: $4,000. The most common rental property sizes in Tubac are 1-bedroom and 3-bedroom, accounting for 65.6% and 34.4% of the rental stock.

    TypeMedian RentAverage Rent
    Average Rent$4,000$4,000
    Studio Rent N/AN/A
    1 Bed Rent N/AN/A
    2 Bed Rent $4,000$4,000
    3 Bed Rent N/AN/A
    4 Bed Rent N/AN/A
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    % of Rental Stock

    1 Bedroom
    65.6%
    3 Bedrooms
    34.4%

    Property Listings — Tubac

    As of Dec '25, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Tubac is 135. This is a increase of 115.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market longer than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 17.0%, representing a small inventory and little supply pressure on home prices.

    MetricZip Code AverageYear over Year % Change
    Median Listing Price
    		$554,00011.0%
    Listing Count
    		807.0%
    Listings as % of Homes4.9%7.0%
    Days on Market
    		9986.0%
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    Demographics — Tubac

    As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Tubac has a population of 1,280, which has remained stable by -0.5% over the past 5 years. Tubac is a less popular place for families, as children make up 5.1% of the population. The area has a highly educated workforce, with 53.2% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are some residents working remotely, with 17.5% reporting working from home.

    MetricLatest CensusYoY % Change
    Population
    		1,280-0.5%
    % Under 18
    		5.1%50.0%
    % Seniors
    		64.1%33.0%
    % WFH
    		17.5%116.0%
    % w/ College Degree
    		53.2%-12.8%
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    As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Tubac is a predominantly white area, with 75.0% of the population identifying as white. The white population has shrunk by 8.2% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Tubac is hispanic, making up 19.5% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 7.9% of the population in Tubac, and this percentage has decreased by 8.1% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting fewer immigrants are calling the area home.

    Race and Ethnicity

    MetricLatest Census5-Year % Change
    % White
    		75.0%-8.2%
    % Black
    		0.0%N/A
    % Hispanic
    		19.5%18.2%
    % Asian
    		0.0%N/A
    % Foreign Born
    		7.9%-8.1%
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    Mortgage and Risk — Tubac

    According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 108 mortgage originations in Tubac, of which 70.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 64.0%, with 31.0% above 90% LTV (very high). This implies large mortgage risk in Tubac. Investor activity is low, as 4.0% of loans were by investors. 10.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting few homeowners are tapping equity.

    Mortgages

    MetricZip Code Average
    Total Loan Originations
    		108
    % Conventional Loans
    		70.0%
    % Government Loans
    		30.0%
    % Investor Loans
    		4.0%
    % Second Loans
    		6.0%
    % Cash Out Refinance
    		10.0%
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    Rentals and Section 8 — Tubac

    Tubac lacks sufficient Section 8 program data for analysis.

    Section 8 Market Size

    Total Units under HUD
    		N/A
    Total Units Section 8
    		N/A
    % Rentals under Section 8
    		N/A
    % Occupied Section 8
    		N/A

    Section 8 Opportunity

    Home SizeHUD PremiumMarket RentMax HUD Rent
    1 BedroomN/AN/A$1,270
    2 Bedroom-$2,330$4,000$1,670
    3 BedroomN/AN/A$2,340
    4 BedroomN/AN/A$2,350

    Affordability — Tubac

    Home Price to Income Ratio

    MetricZip Code Average
    Home Price to Income Ratio5.6
    Median Home Price$502,000
    Median Household Income$85,300

    Tubac — ZIP Code Boundary Map

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    Frequently Asked Questions