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Natalia, TX—78059

Real Estate Data & Market Trends

Key Metrics at a Glance

Median Home Value
$309,000
0.7% YoY Growth
Household Income
$72,300
4.5% YoY Growth
Days on Market
91
41.0% Shorter YoY
Home Price Forecast
-0.4%
Median Rent
$2,250
0.9% YoY Growth
1-Bed Rent
N/A
N/A
2-Bed Rent
N/A
N/A
3-Bed Rent
$2,200
N/A

Other Zip Codes in Natalia, TX

78039
  • Home Price Trends
  • Rental Trends
  • Property Listings
  • Demographics
  • Mortgage and Risk

Home Price Trends — Natalia, TX

As of Dec '25, the median home price in Natalia, TX is $309,000, with a year-over-year change of -0.7%. This indicates that home prices in Natalia, TX are flat. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is -0.4%, suggesting a relatively flat housing market in the next year.

Cost per Home Type

Home TypeMedian Home ValueYoY % Change
All Homes
$309,000-0.7%
Single Family $309,000-1.3%
Condos N/AN/A

Cost per Home Size

Home SizeMedian Home ValueYoY % Change
1 Bed
  • Affordability
  • Rentals and Section 8
    • N/A
    N/A
    2 Bed
    		N/AN/A
    3 Bed
    		$379,0001.3%
    4 Bed
    		$449,0000.2%
    5 Bed N/AN/A
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    % of Housing Stock

    Studio
    2.5%
    1 Bedroom
    2.8%
    2 Bedrooms
    18.0%
    3 Bedrooms
    55.3%
    4 Bedrooms
    15.7%
    5+ Bedrooms
    5.7%

    Rental Trends — Natalia, TX

    As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Natalia, TX is $2,270, with a year-over-year rent change of 0.9%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Natalia, TX is 3-bedrooms: $2,200, 4-bedrooms: $2,300. The most common rental property sizes in Natalia, TX are 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom, accounting for 44.0% and 30.2% of the rental stock.

    TypeMedian RentAverage Rent
    Average Rent$2,250$2,270
    Studio Rent N/AN/A
    1 Bed Rent N/AN/A
    2 Bed Rent N/AN/A
    3 Bed Rent $2,200$2,200
    4 Bed Rent $2,250$2,300
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    % of Rental Stock

    1 Bedroom
    16.4%
    2 Bedrooms
    44.0%
    3 Bedrooms
    30.2%
    4 Bedrooms
    9.4%

    Property Listings — Natalia, TX

    As of Dec '25, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Natalia, TX is 79. This is a decrease of -30.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market shorter than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 12.0%, representing a small inventory and little supply pressure on home prices.

    MetricZip Code AverageYear over Year % Change
    Median Listing Price
    		$475,00016.0%
    Listing Count
    		31-9.0%
    Listings as % of Homes0.8%-9.0%
    Days on Market
    		91-41.0%
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    Demographics — Natalia, TX

    As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Natalia, TX has a population of 6,140, which has increased by 3.9% over the past 5 years. Natalia, TX is a moderately popular place for families, as children make up 23.4% of the population. The area has a poorly educated workforce, with 14.6% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are few residents working remotely, with 5.2% reporting working from home.

    MetricLatest CensusYoY % Change
    Population
    		6,1403.9%
    % Under 18
    		23.4%9.3%
    % Seniors
    		18.4%-3.7%
    % WFH
    		5.2%1,200.0%
    % w/ College Degree
    		14.6%-18.9%
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    As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Natalia, TX is a predominantly hispanic area, with 67.6% of the population identifying as hispanic. The hispanic population has grown by 5.6% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Natalia, TX is white, making up 26.6% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 9.7% of the population in Natalia, TX, and this percentage has increased by 15.5% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting more immigrants are calling the area home.

    Race and Ethnicity

    MetricLatest Census5-Year % Change
    % White
    		26.6%-20.1%
    % Black
    		3.6%157.1%
    % Hispanic
    		67.6%5.6%
    % Asian
    		0.0%-100.0%
    % Foreign Born
    		9.7%15.5%
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    Mortgage and Risk — Natalia, TX

    According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 83 mortgage originations in Natalia, TX, of which 57.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 77.0%, with 51.0% above 90% LTV (very high). This implies large mortgage risk in Natalia, TX. Investor activity is low, as 0.0% of loans were by investors. 8.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting few homeowners are tapping equity.

    Mortgages

    MetricZip Code Average
    Total Loan Originations
    		83
    % Conventional Loans
    		57.0%
    % Government Loans
    		43.0%
    % Investor Loans
    		0.0%
    % Second Loans
    		0.0%
    % Cash Out Refinance
    		8.0%
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    Rentals and Section 8 — Natalia, TX

    Natalia, TX lacks sufficient Section 8 program data for analysis.

    Section 8 Market Size

    Total Units under HUD
    		7
    Total Units Section 8
    		7
    % Rentals under Section 8
    		5.7%
    % Occupied Section 8
    		N/A

    Section 8 Opportunity

    Home SizeHUD PremiumMarket RentMax HUD Rent
    1 BedroomN/AN/A$820
    2 BedroomN/AN/A$1,080
    3 Bedroom-$770$2,200$1,430
    4 Bedroom-$820$2,250$1,430

    Affordability — Natalia, TX

    Home Price to Income Ratio

    MetricZip Code Average
    Home Price to Income Ratio4.3
    Median Home Price$309,000
    Median Household Income$72,300

    Natalia, TX — ZIP Code Boundary Map

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    Nearby ZIP Codes

    Lytle, TX

    78052

    Devine, TX

    78016

    Natalia, TX

    78039

    Atascosa, TX

    78002

    Somerset, TX

    78069

    Frequently Asked Questions