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Vail, AZ—85641

Real Estate Data & Market Trends

Key Metrics at a Glance

Median Home Value
$406,000
2.1% YoY Growth
Household Income
$122,000
39.2% YoY Growth
Days on Market
53
18.0% Longer YoY
Home Price Forecast
-0.7%
Median Rent
$2,000
2.8% YoY Growth
1-Bed Rent
N/A
N/A
2-Bed Rent
$1,500
N/A
3-Bed Rent
$1,860
1.5% YoY Growth
  • Home Price Trends
  • Rental Trends
  • Property Listings
  • Demographics
  • Mortgage and Risk

Home Price Trends — Vail, AZ

As of May '26, the median home price in Vail, AZ is $406,000, with a year-over-year change of -2.1%. This indicates that home prices in Vail, AZ are decreasing. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is -0.7%, suggesting a relatively flat housing market in the next year.

Cost per Home Type

Home TypeMedian Home ValueYoY % Change
All Homes
$406,000-2.1%
Single Family $406,000-2.2%
Condos N/AN/A

Cost per Home Size

Home SizeMedian Home ValueYoY % Change
1 Bed

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  • Affordability
  • Rentals and Section 8
    • N/A
    N/A
    2 Bed
    		$346,000-3.1%
    3 Bed
    		$370,000-2.4%
    4 Bed
    		$424,000-2.3%
    5 Bed $465,280-2.0%
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    % of Housing Stock

    Studio
    0.5%
    1 Bedroom
    1.1%
    2 Bedrooms
    8.0%
    3 Bedrooms
    45.5%
    4 Bedrooms
    39.2%
    5+ Bedrooms
    5.8%

    Rental Trends — Vail, AZ

    As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Vail, AZ is $2,120, with a year-over-year rent change of -2.8%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Vail, AZ is 2-bedrooms: $1,650, 3-bedrooms: $1,940, 4-bedrooms: $2,200. The most common rental property sizes in Vail, AZ are 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom, accounting for 44.3% and 41.2% of the rental stock.

    TypeMedian RentAverage Rent
    Average Rent$2,000$2,120
    Studio Rent N/AN/A
    1 Bed Rent N/AN/A
    2 Bed Rent $1,500$1,650
    3 Bed Rent $1,860$1,940
    4 Bed Rent $2,200$2,200
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    % of Rental Stock

    1 Bedroom
    2.4%
    2 Bedrooms
    7.2%
    3 Bedrooms
    44.3%
    4 Bedrooms
    41.2%
    5+ Bedrooms
    5.0%

    Property Listings — Vail, AZ

    As of May '26, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Vail, AZ is 53. This is a increase of 18.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market longer than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 23.0%, representing a small inventory and little supply pressure on home prices.

    MetricZip Code AverageYear over Year % Change
    Median Listing Price
    		$430,000-2.0%
    Listing Count
    		375-1.0%
    Listings as % of Homes1.6%-1.0%
    Days on Market
    		5318.0%
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    Demographics — Vail, AZ

    As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Vail, AZ has a population of 31,700, which has increased by 19.8% over the past 5 years. Vail, AZ is a popular place for families, as children make up 26.2% of the population. The area has a highly educated workforce, with 45.9% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are some residents working remotely, with 20.1% reporting working from home.

    MetricLatest CensusYoY % Change
    Population
    		31,70019.8%
    % Under 18
    		26.2%-8.1%
    % Seniors
    		15.7%23.6%
    % WFH
    		20.1%318.8%
    % w/ College Degree
    		45.9%20.5%
    Loading chart...

    As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Vail, AZ is a predominantly white area, with 67.0% of the population identifying as white. The white population has shrunk by 7.8% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Vail, AZ is hispanic, making up 18.8% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 5.6% of the population in Vail, AZ, and this percentage has increased by 12.0% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting more immigrants are calling the area home.

    Race and Ethnicity

    MetricLatest Census5-Year % Change
    % White
    		67.0%-7.8%
    % Black
    		4.9%75.0%
    % Hispanic
    		18.8%-5.1%
    % Asian
    		2.7%35.0%
    % Foreign Born
    		5.6%12.0%
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    Mortgage and Risk — Vail, AZ

    According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 168 mortgage originations in Vail, AZ, of which 60.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 74.0%, with 46.0% above 90% LTV (very high). This implies large mortgage risk in Vail, AZ. Investor activity is low, as 0.0% of loans were by investors. 12.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting many homeowners are tapping equity.

    Mortgages

    MetricZip Code Average
    Total Loan Originations
    		168
    % Conventional Loans
    		60.0%
    % Government Loans
    		40.0%
    % Investor Loans
    		0.0%
    % Second Loans
    		2.0%
    % Cash Out Refinance
    		12.0%
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    Rentals and Section 8 — Vail, AZ

    Vail, AZ lacks sufficient Section 8 program data for analysis.

    Section 8 Market Size

    Total Units under HUD
    		N/A
    Total Units Section 8
    		N/A
    % Rentals under Section 8
    		0.3%
    % Occupied Section 8
    		N/A

    Section 8 Opportunity

    Home SizeHUD PremiumMarket RentMax HUD Rent
    1 BedroomN/AN/A$1,580
    2 Bedroom$560$1,500$2,060
    3 Bedroom$1,030$1,860$2,890
    4 Bedroom$1,150$2,200$3,350

    Affordability — Vail, AZ

    Home Price to Income Ratio

    MetricZip Code Average
    Home Price to Income Ratio3.4
    Median Home Price$406,000
    Median Household Income$122,000

    Vail, AZ — ZIP Code Boundary Map

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    Frequently Asked Questions