Warrenton, VA—20186
Real Estate Data & Market Trends
Key Metrics at a Glance
Other Zip Codes in Warrenton, VA
Home Price Trends — Warrenton, VA
As of Oct '25, the median home price in Warrenton, VA is $595,000, with a year-over-year change of 3.9%. This indicates that home prices in Warrenton, VA are increasing. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is -0.1%, suggesting a relatively flat housing market in the next year.
Cost per Home Type
| Home Type | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
All Homes | $595,000 | 3.9% |
| Single Family | $609,000 | 3.9% |
| Condos | N/A | N/A |
Cost per Home Size
| Home Size | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
1 Bed | N/A | N/A |
2 Bed | $379,000 | 4.7% |
3 Bed | $504,000 | 3.9% |
4 Bed | $720,000 | 3.4% |
| 5 Bed | $838,000 | 2.9% |
% of Housing Stock
Rental Trends — Warrenton, VA
As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Warrenton, VA is $2,560, with a year-over-year rent change of 5.8%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Warrenton, VA is 1-bedrooms: $1,280, 2-bedrooms: $2,160, 3-bedrooms: $2,640, 4-bedrooms: $3,550. The most common rental property sizes in Warrenton, VA are 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom, accounting for 32.2% and 31.1% of the rental stock.
| Type | Median Rent | Average Rent |
|---|---|---|
| Average Rent | $2,500 | $2,560 |
| Studio Rent | N/A | N/A |
| 1 Bed Rent | $1,300 | $1,280 |
| 2 Bed Rent | $2,150 | $2,160 |
| 3 Bed Rent | $2,500 | $2,640 |
| 4 Bed Rent | $3,500 | $3,550 |
% of Rental Stock
Property Listings — Warrenton, VA
As of Oct '25, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Warrenton, VA is 70. This is a increase of 24.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market longer than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 19.0%, representing a small inventory and little supply pressure on home prices.
| Metric | Zip Code Average | Year over Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
Median Listing Price | $734,000 | 2.0% |
Listing Count | 72 | 42.0% |
| Listings as % of Homes | 0.8% | 42.0% |
Days on Market | 70 | 24.0% |
Demographics — Warrenton, VA
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Warrenton, VA has a population of 15,400, which has increased by 2.6% over the past 5 years. Warrenton, VA is a moderately popular place for families, as children make up 21.3% of the population. The area has a moderately educated workforce, with 43.9% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are some residents working remotely, with 12.5% reporting working from home.
| Metric | Latest Census | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
Population | 15,400 | 2.6% |
% Under 18 | 21.3% | -6.6% |
% Seniors | 17.4% | -11.2% |
% WFH | 12.5% | 123.2% |
% w/ College Degree | 43.9% | 6.8% |
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Warrenton, VA is a predominantly white area, with 73.2% of the population identifying as white. The white population has shrunk by 10.1% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Warrenton, VA is black, making up 9.7% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 6.0% of the population in Warrenton, VA, and this percentage has decreased by 29.4% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting fewer immigrants are calling the area home.
Race and Ethnicity
| Metric | Latest Census | 5-Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
% White | 73.2% | -10.1% |
% Black | 9.7% | 24.4% |
% Hispanic | 7.7% | 20.3% |
% Asian | 2.0% | -20.0% |
% Foreign Born | 6.0% | -29.4% |
Mortgage and Risk — Warrenton, VA
According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 367 mortgage originations in Warrenton, VA, of which 78.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 61.0%, with 28.0% above 90% LTV (very high). This implies large mortgage risk in Warrenton, VA. Investor activity is low, as 2.0% of loans were by investors. 11.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting many homeowners are tapping equity.
Mortgages
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
Total Loan Originations | 367 |
% Conventional Loans | 78.0% |
% Government Loans | 22.0% |
% Investor Loans | 2.0% |
% Second Loans | 1.0% |
% Cash Out Refinance | 11.0% |
Loan Activity
Rentals and Section 8 — Warrenton, VA
As of 2024, the percent of homes in Warrenton, VA under the Section 8 program is 6.5%. This is considered low, suggesting that the neighborhood is sparsely composed of Section 8 homes. Section 8 opportunity is good when HUD pays more than market rent. 1-bedroom units appear to be good home sizes to consider for Section 8 housing in Warrenton, VA, because HUD payments exceed market rent, while 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom units do not.
Section 8 Market Size
Total Units under HUD | 120 |
Total Units Section 8 | 119 |
% Rentals under Section 8 | 6.5% |
% Occupied Section 8 | 93.2% |
Section 8 Opportunity
| Home Size | HUD Premium | Market Rent | Max HUD Rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bedroom | $330 | $1,300 | $1,630 |
| 2 Bedroom | -$320 | $2,150 | $1,830 |
| 3 Bedroom | -$210 | $2,500 | $2,290 |
| 4 Bedroom | -$800 | $3,500 | $2,700 |
Affordability — Warrenton, VA
Home Price to Income Ratio
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
| Home Price to Income Ratio | 5.3 |
| Median Home Price | $595,000 |
| Median Household Income | $101,000 |