Warrenton, VA—20187
Real Estate Data & Market Trends
Key Metrics at a Glance
Other Zip Codes in Warrenton, VA
Home Price Trends — Warrenton, VA
As of Oct '25, the median home price in Warrenton, VA is $723,000, with a year-over-year change of 4.1%. This indicates that home prices in Warrenton, VA are increasing. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is -0.2%, suggesting a relatively flat housing market in the next year.
Cost per Home Type
| Home Type | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
All Homes | $723,000 | 4.1% |
| Single Family | $728,000 | 3.9% |
| Condos | N/A | N/A |
Cost per Home Size
| Home Size | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
1 Bed | N/A | N/A |
2 Bed | $496,000 | 4.4% |
3 Bed | $576,000 | 4.0% |
4 Bed | $771,000 | 3.6% |
| 5 Bed | $916,000 | 2.8% |
% of Housing Stock
Rental Trends — Warrenton, VA
As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Warrenton, VA is $3,160, with a year-over-year rent change of 4.3%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Warrenton, VA is 1-bedrooms: $1,710, 2-bedrooms: $2,650, 3-bedrooms: $3,430, 4-bedrooms: $3,260. The most common rental property sizes in Warrenton, VA are 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom, accounting for 40.4% and 32.9% of the rental stock.
| Type | Median Rent | Average Rent |
|---|---|---|
| Average Rent | $3,000 | $3,160 |
| Studio Rent | N/A | N/A |
| 1 Bed Rent | $1,620 | $1,710 |
| 2 Bed Rent | $2,550 | $2,650 |
| 3 Bed Rent | $3,300 | $3,430 |
| 4 Bed Rent | $3,100 | $3,260 |
% of Rental Stock
Property Listings — Warrenton, VA
As of Oct '25, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Warrenton, VA is 31. This is a increase of 15.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market longer than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 11.0%, representing a small inventory and little supply pressure on home prices.
| Metric | Zip Code Average | Year over Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
Median Listing Price | $906,000 | 10.0% |
Listing Count | 74 | 52.0% |
| Listings as % of Homes | 0.6% | 52.0% |
Days on Market | 31 | 15.0% |
Demographics — Warrenton, VA
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Warrenton, VA has a population of 19,400, which has increased by 9.7% over the past 5 years. Warrenton, VA is a popular place for families, as children make up 25.7% of the population. The area has a highly educated workforce, with 54.0% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are some residents working remotely, with 19.7% reporting working from home.
| Metric | Latest Census | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
Population | 19,400 | 9.7% |
% Under 18 | 25.7% | -4.1% |
% Seniors | 15.1% | 15.3% |
% WFH | 19.7% | 105.2% |
% w/ College Degree | 54.0% | 24.4% |
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Warrenton, VA is a predominantly white area, with 82.2% of the population identifying as white. The white population has shrunk by 1.4% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Warrenton, VA is hispanic, making up 5.8% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 5.8% of the population in Warrenton, VA, and this percentage has increased by 56.8% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting more immigrants are calling the area home.
Race and Ethnicity
| Metric | Latest Census | 5-Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
% White | 82.2% | -1.4% |
% Black | 4.7% | -36.5% |
% Hispanic | 5.8% | 3.6% |
% Asian | 3.2% | 146.2% |
% Foreign Born | 5.8% | 56.8% |
Mortgage and Risk — Warrenton, VA
According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 417 mortgage originations in Warrenton, VA, of which 81.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 56.0%, with 28.0% above 90% LTV (very high). This implies large mortgage risk in Warrenton, VA. Investor activity is low, as 0.0% of loans were by investors. 10.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting few homeowners are tapping equity.
Mortgages
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
Total Loan Originations | 417 |
% Conventional Loans | 81.0% |
% Government Loans | 19.0% |
% Investor Loans | 0.0% |
% Second Loans | 1.0% |
% Cash Out Refinance | 10.0% |
Loan Activity
Rentals and Section 8 — Warrenton, VA
As of 2024, the percent of homes in Warrenton, VA under the Section 8 program is 1.3%. This is considered low, suggesting that the neighborhood is sparsely composed of Section 8 homes. Section 8 opportunity is good when HUD pays more than market rent. 1-bedroom and 2-bedroom and 4-bedroom units appear to be good home sizes to consider for Section 8 housing in Warrenton, VA, because HUD payments exceed market rent, while 3-bedroom units do not.
Section 8 Market Size
Total Units under HUD | 7 |
Total Units Section 8 | 7 |
% Rentals under Section 8 | 1.3% |
% Occupied Section 8 | N/A |
Section 8 Opportunity
| Home Size | HUD Premium | Market Rent | Max HUD Rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bedroom | $690 | $1,620 | $2,310 |
| 2 Bedroom | $50 | $2,550 | $2,600 |
| 3 Bedroom | -$50 | $3,300 | $3,250 |
| 4 Bedroom | $730 | $3,100 | $3,830 |
Affordability — Warrenton, VA
Home Price to Income Ratio
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
| Home Price to Income Ratio | 3.9 |
| Median Home Price | $723,000 |
| Median Household Income | $166,000 |