Lorton, VA—22079
Real Estate Data & Market Trends
Key Metrics at a Glance
Home Price Trends — Lorton, VA
As of Oct '25, the median home price in Lorton, VA is $669,000, with a year-over-year change of 1.1%. This indicates that home prices in Lorton, VA are increasing. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is -0.1%, suggesting a relatively flat housing market in the next year.
Cost per Home Type
| Home Type | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
All Homes | $669,000 | 1.1% |
| Single Family | $712,000 | 1.0% |
| Condos | $380,000 | 1.9% |
Cost per Home Size
| Home Size | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
1 Bed | N/A | N/A |
2 Bed | $406,000 | 2.3% |
3 Bed | $580,000 | 1.6% |
4 Bed | $854,000 | 0.5% |
| 5 Bed | $1,081,000 | 0.7% |
% of Housing Stock
Rental Trends — Lorton, VA
As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Lorton, VA is $3,070, with a year-over-year rent change of 15.8%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Lorton, VA is studios: $1,380, 1-bedrooms: $1,690, 2-bedrooms: $2,300, 3-bedrooms: $3,070, 4-bedrooms: $3,960. The most common rental property sizes in Lorton, VA are 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom, accounting for 33.5% and 32.7% of the rental stock.
| Type | Median Rent | Average Rent |
|---|---|---|
| Average Rent | $2,950 | $3,070 |
| Studio Rent | $1,380 | $1,380 |
| 1 Bed Rent | $1,820 | $1,690 |
| 2 Bed Rent | $2,350 | $2,300 |
| 3 Bed Rent | $2,950 | $3,070 |
| 4 Bed Rent | $3,950 | $3,960 |
% of Rental Stock
Property Listings — Lorton, VA
As of Oct '25, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Lorton, VA is 20. This is a decrease of -1.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market about the same amount of time than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 28.0%, representing a large inventory and a lot of supply pressure on home prices.
| Metric | Zip Code Average | Year over Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
Median Listing Price | $741,000 | -7.0% |
Listing Count | 72 | 16.0% |
| Listings as % of Homes | 0.3% | 16.0% |
Days on Market | 20 | -1.0% |
Demographics — Lorton, VA
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Lorton, VA has a population of 36,500, which has increased by 2.6% over the past 5 years. Lorton, VA is a popular place for families, as children make up 26.5% of the population. The area has a highly educated workforce, with 57.7% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are some residents working remotely, with 24.0% reporting working from home.
| Metric | Latest Census | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
Population | 36,500 | 2.6% |
% Under 18 | 26.5% | 0.4% |
% Seniors | 10.4% | 26.8% |
% WFH | 24.0% | 370.6% |
% w/ College Degree | 57.7% | 15.2% |
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Lorton, VA is a predominantly white area, with 32.4% of the population identifying as white. The white population has shrunk by 20.0% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Lorton, VA is black, making up 27.8% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 30.8% of the population in Lorton, VA, and this percentage has decreased by 2.8% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting fewer immigrants are calling the area home.
Race and Ethnicity
| Metric | Latest Census | 5-Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
% White | 32.4% | -20.0% |
% Black | 27.8% | 24.7% |
% Hispanic | 16.2% | 4.5% |
% Asian | 17.7% | -6.3% |
% Foreign Born | 30.8% | -2.8% |
Mortgage and Risk — Lorton, VA
According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 359 mortgage originations in Lorton, VA, of which 75.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 64.0%, with 34.0% above 90% LTV (very high). This implies large mortgage risk in Lorton, VA. Investor activity is low, as 0.0% of loans were by investors. 10.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting few homeowners are tapping equity.
Mortgages
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
Total Loan Originations | 359 |
% Conventional Loans | 75.0% |
% Government Loans | 25.0% |
% Investor Loans | 0.0% |
% Second Loans | 1.0% |
% Cash Out Refinance | 10.0% |
Loan Activity
Rentals and Section 8 — Lorton, VA
As of 2024, the percent of homes in Lorton, VA under the Section 8 program is 10.8%. This is considered low, suggesting that the neighborhood is sparsely composed of Section 8 homes. Section 8 opportunity is good when HUD pays more than market rent. In Lorton, VA, all tracked home sizes have HUD payment amounts above market rent, suggesting strong Section 8 opportunity across the board.
Section 8 Market Size
Total Units under HUD | 294 |
Total Units Section 8 | 294 |
% Rentals under Section 8 | 10.8% |
% Occupied Section 8 | 95.0% |
Section 8 Opportunity
| Home Size | HUD Premium | Market Rent | Max HUD Rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bedroom | $660 | $1,820 | $2,480 |
| 2 Bedroom | $440 | $2,350 | $2,790 |
| 3 Bedroom | $540 | $2,950 | $3,490 |
| 4 Bedroom | $170 | $3,950 | $4,120 |
Affordability — Lorton, VA
Home Price to Income Ratio
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
| Home Price to Income Ratio | 4.3 |
| Median Home Price | $669,000 |
| Median Household Income | $141,000 |