Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA—94158
Real Estate Data & Market Trends
Key Metrics at a Glance
Home Price Trends — Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA
As of Oct '25, the median home price in Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA is $1,211,000, with a year-over-year change of -0.5%. This indicates that home prices in Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA are flat. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is -0.4%, suggesting a relatively flat housing market in the next year.
Cost per Home Type
| Home Type | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
All Homes | $1,211,000 | -0.5% |
| Single Family | N/A | N/A |
| Condos | $1,207,000 | -0.2% |
Cost per Home Size
| Home Size | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
1 Bed | $834,000 | -1.3% |
2 Bed | $1,352,000 | -0.1% |
3 Bed | $1,950,000 | 3.1% |
4 Bed | N/A | N/A |
| 5 Bed | N/A | N/A |
% of Housing Stock
Rental Trends — Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA
As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA is $4,970, with a year-over-year rent change of 8.5%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA is studios: $3,420, 1-bedrooms: $3,670, 2-bedrooms: $6,180. The most common rental property sizes in Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA are 1-bedroom and 2-bedroom, accounting for 41.0% and 29.2% of the rental stock.
| Type | Median Rent | Average Rent |
|---|---|---|
| Average Rent | $4,990 | $4,970 |
| Studio Rent | $3,310 | $3,420 |
| 1 Bed Rent | $3,900 | $3,670 |
| 2 Bed Rent | $6,700 | $6,180 |
| 3 Bed Rent | N/A | N/A |
| 4 Bed Rent | N/A | N/A |
% of Rental Stock
Property Listings — Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA
As of Oct '25, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA is 68. This is a increase of 36.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market longer than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 20.0%, representing a small inventory and little supply pressure on home prices.
| Metric | Zip Code Average | Year over Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
Median Listing Price | $1,230,000 | 18.0% |
Listing Count | 10 | -44.0% |
| Listings as % of Homes | 0.3% | -44.0% |
Days on Market | 68 | 36.0% |
Demographics — Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA has a population of 11,200, which has increased by 53.7% over the past 5 years. Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA is a moderately popular place for families, as children make up 18.0% of the population. The area has a highly educated workforce, with 77.4% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are many residents working remotely, with 38.5% reporting working from home.
| Metric | Latest Census | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
Population | 11,200 | 53.7% |
% Under 18 | 18.0% | 25.0% |
% Seniors | 7.6% | 24.6% |
% WFH | 38.5% | 685.7% |
% w/ College Degree | 77.4% | 4.5% |
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA is a predominantly asian area, with 42.6% of the population identifying as asian. The asian population has grown by 8.4% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA is white, making up 20.8% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 42.2% of the population in Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA, and this percentage has increased by 5.8% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting more immigrants are calling the area home.
Race and Ethnicity
| Metric | Latest Census | 5-Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
% White | 20.8% | -47.6% |
% Black | 13.6% | 166.7% |
% Hispanic | 12.5% | -18.3% |
% Asian | 42.6% | 8.4% |
% Foreign Born | 42.2% | 5.8% |
Mortgage and Risk — Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA
According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 73 mortgage originations in Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA, of which 100.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 64.0%, with 5.0% above 90% LTV (normal). This implies small mortgage risk in Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA. Investor activity is low, as 5.0% of loans were by investors. 1.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting few homeowners are tapping equity.
Mortgages
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
Total Loan Originations | 73 |
% Conventional Loans | 100.0% |
% Government Loans | 0.0% |
% Investor Loans | 5.0% |
% Second Loans | 7.0% |
% Cash Out Refinance | 1.0% |
Loan Activity
Rentals and Section 8 — Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA
Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA lacks sufficient Section 8 program data for analysis.
Section 8 Market Size
Total Units under HUD | 384 |
Total Units Section 8 | 384 |
% Rentals under Section 8 | 10.3% |
% Occupied Section 8 | 90.0% |
Section 8 Opportunity
| Home Size | HUD Premium | Market Rent | Max HUD Rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bedroom | -$340 | $3,900 | $3,560 |
| 2 Bedroom | -$2,460 | $6,700 | $4,240 |
| 3 Bedroom | N/A | N/A | $5,250 |
| 4 Bedroom | N/A | N/A | $5,650 |
Affordability — Mission Bay, San Francisco, CA
Home Price to Income Ratio
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
| Home Price to Income Ratio | 6.8 |
| Median Home Price | $1,211,000 |
| Median Household Income | $184,000 |