Lincolnia, VA—22312
Real Estate Data & Market Trends
Key Metrics at a Glance
Home Price Trends — Lincolnia, VA
As of Oct '25, the median home price in Lincolnia, VA is $623,000, with a year-over-year change of 0.4%. This indicates that home prices in Lincolnia, VA are flat. According to Zillow, the 1-year price projection is -0.2%, suggesting a relatively flat housing market in the next year.
Cost per Home Type
| Home Type | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
All Homes | $623,000 | 0.4% |
| Single Family | $693,000 | -0.6% |
| Condos | $286,000 | 0.7% |
Cost per Home Size
| Home Size | Median Home Value | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
1 Bed | $224,000 | 0.9% |
2 Bed | $383,000 | 0.0% |
3 Bed | $648,000 | -0.5% |
4 Bed | $789,000 | -0.8% |
| 5 Bed | $918,000 | -1.2% |
% of Housing Stock
Rental Trends — Lincolnia, VA
As of July '25, Rentcast reports the average rent in Lincolnia, VA is $3,040, with a year-over-year rent change of 24.1%. Per bedroom, the median rent as of July '25 in Lincolnia, VA is studios: $1,660, 1-bedrooms: $1,850, 2-bedrooms: $2,590, 3-bedrooms: $3,520, 4-bedrooms: $4,100. The most common rental property sizes in Lincolnia, VA are 2-bedroom and 1-bedroom, accounting for 40.9% and 31.8% of the rental stock.
| Type | Median Rent | Average Rent |
|---|---|---|
| Average Rent | $3,200 | $3,040 |
| Studio Rent | $1,480 | $1,660 |
| 1 Bed Rent | $1,800 | $1,850 |
| 2 Bed Rent | $2,600 | $2,590 |
| 3 Bed Rent | $3,500 | $3,520 |
| 4 Bed Rent | $3,870 | $4,100 |
% of Rental Stock
Property Listings — Lincolnia, VA
As of Oct '25, Realtor.com reports that the median days on market for a home in Lincolnia, VA is 33. This is a increase of 69.0% from last year, suggesting that homes are sitting on the market longer than last year. The percentage of listed homes with a reduced price is 23.0%, representing a small inventory and little supply pressure on home prices.
| Metric | Zip Code Average | Year over Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
Median Listing Price | $432,000 | 16.0% |
Listing Count | 60 | 9.0% |
| Listings as % of Homes | 0.3% | 9.0% |
Days on Market | 33 | 69.0% |
Demographics — Lincolnia, VA
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Lincolnia, VA has a population of 26,400, which has decreased by -22.0% over the past 5 years. Lincolnia, VA is a moderately popular place for families, as children make up 20.0% of the population. The area has a highly educated workforce, with 53.5% of adult residents holding a bachelor’s degree or higher. There are some residents working remotely, with 19.9% reporting working from home.
| Metric | Latest Census | YoY % Change |
|---|---|---|
Population | 26,400 | -22.0% |
% Under 18 | 20.0% | -2.4% |
% Seniors | 11.1% | 11.0% |
% WFH | 19.9% | 268.5% |
% w/ College Degree | 53.5% | 17.3% |
As of the latest ACS Survey released in 2023, Lincolnia, VA is a predominantly white area, with 30.4% of the population identifying as white. The white population has grown by 1.0% in the last 5 years. The second most common race or ethnicity in Lincolnia, VA is black, making up 28.6% of the population. Foreign-born residents account for 40.5% of the population in Lincolnia, VA, and this percentage has decreased by 10.6% as of the ACS Survey 5 years prior, suggesting fewer immigrants are calling the area home.
Race and Ethnicity
| Metric | Latest Census | 5-Year % Change |
|---|---|---|
% White | 30.4% | 1.0% |
% Black | 28.6% | 3.2% |
% Hispanic | 18.8% | -22.0% |
% Asian | 15.7% | 5.4% |
% Foreign Born | 40.5% | -10.6% |
Mortgage and Risk — Lincolnia, VA
According to HUD data as of 2023, there were 361 mortgage originations in Lincolnia, VA, of which 84.0% of loans were conventional mortgages. The average loan-to-value was 65.0%, with 29.0% above 90% LTV (very high). This implies large mortgage risk in Lincolnia, VA. Investor activity is low, as 1.0% of loans were by investors. 9.0% of loans were cash-out refinances, suggesting few homeowners are tapping equity.
Mortgages
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
Total Loan Originations | 361 |
% Conventional Loans | 84.0% |
% Government Loans | 16.0% |
% Investor Loans | 1.0% |
% Second Loans | 1.0% |
% Cash Out Refinance | 9.0% |
Loan Activity
Rentals and Section 8 — Lincolnia, VA
As of 2024, the percent of homes in Lincolnia, VA under the Section 8 program is 10.8%. This is considered low, suggesting that the neighborhood is sparsely composed of Section 8 homes. Section 8 opportunity is good when HUD pays more than market rent. 1-bedroom units appear to be good home sizes to consider for Section 8 housing in Lincolnia, VA, because HUD payments exceed market rent, while 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom units do not.
Section 8 Market Size
Total Units under HUD | 550 |
Total Units Section 8 | 527 |
% Rentals under Section 8 | 10.8% |
% Occupied Section 8 | 86.5% |
Section 8 Opportunity
| Home Size | HUD Premium | Market Rent | Max HUD Rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bedroom | $260 | $1,800 | $2,060 |
| 2 Bedroom | -$280 | $2,600 | $2,320 |
| 3 Bedroom | -$600 | $3,500 | $2,900 |
| 4 Bedroom | -$450 | $3,870 | $3,420 |
Affordability — Lincolnia, VA
Home Price to Income Ratio
| Metric | Zip Code Average |
|---|---|
| Home Price to Income Ratio | 5.4 |
| Median Home Price | $623,000 |
| Median Household Income | $105,000 |